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LS ACTIVE 2 HALF

Futures · Started Apr 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
91.4%
Max Drawdown
16.1%
Trades
86
Win Trades
87.2%
Profit Factor
8.30
Win Months
82.4%
Subscribe Full access for $150/month

About this strategy

This strategy invests across global equities, and trades via technical analysis.

It uses different technical indicators, and timeframes to find the right opportunity and market.

Can trade in a variety of different ways under its remit. Could be long, flat, hedged, or even short if the market climate permits.

A speculative edge to one's portfolio once the foundations are in place.

Caps leverage at 2.5 x.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202533.16.52.01.03.13.77.25.12.680.4
2026-1.78.2-3.76.89.53.410.7-0.336.8

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/9/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$90,000
Age17 months
C2 Rank990
Rank at C2 %Top 1.0%
Rank ##7
What it tradesFutures
# Trades86
# Profitable75
% Profitable87.2%
Avg trade duration7.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown16.1%
drawdown periodMarch 08, 2026 - March 23, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)91.4%
Avg win$814
Avg loss$666

Ratios

W:L ratio8.33
Sharpe Ratio2.70
Sortino Ratio5.74
Calmar Ratio9.96

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.20
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life40.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)106.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)91.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.9%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)95.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss4.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)977
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)998
C2 Score990
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)990

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$666
Avg Win$814
# Winners75
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,326
Sum Trade PL (winners)$61,020
Num Months Winners14
# Losers11
% Winners87.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table17

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)11034.73
Avg Position Time (hrs)183.91
Avg Trade Length7.70
Last Trade Ago6

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.43
Daily leverage (max)3.65

Regression

Alpha0.16
Beta0.31
Treynor Index0.58

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.16
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1.95
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats98.72
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats69.12
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.83
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.52
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.86

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.72
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.49
df15
t3.03
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.41
Sortino ratio79.10
Upside Potential Ratio79.96
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms1
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.25
Mean of criterion0.72
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.01
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.80
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.52
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error14
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.35
t(a)1.79
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.15
Treynor index (mean / b)0.90
Jensen alpha (a)0.52
Mean0.67
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.70
df15
t3.28
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.65
Sortino ratio73.38
Upside Potential Ratio74.24
Upside part of mean0.68
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms1
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.67
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.76
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.49
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error14
t(b)1.25
p(b)0.34
t(a)1.97
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)0.89
Jensen alpha (a)0.49
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.67
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.48
df358
t4.08
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.17
Sortino ratio8.02
Upside Potential Ratio13.72
Upside part of mean1.15
Downside part of mean-0.48
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms210
N negative terms149
N of observations359
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.67
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.60
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error357
t(b)4.13
p(b)0.00
t(a)3.71
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.92
Treynor index (mean / b)2.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.60
Mean0.65
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.48
df358
t4.08
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.17
Sortino ratio7.70
Upside Potential Ratio13.38
Upside part of mean1.13
Downside part of mean-0.48
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms210
N negative terms149
N of observations359
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.65
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.58
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error357
t(b)4.35
p(b)0.00
t(a)3.72
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.89
Treynor index (mean / b)2.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.58
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.51
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.91
df130
t2.07
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.70
Sortino ratio5.63
Upside Potential Ratio12.09
Upside part of mean1.10
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.51
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)4.42
p(b)0.27
t(a)1.85
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.89
Treynor index (mean / b)1.13
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
Mean0.50
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.84
df130
t2.02
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.65
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.64
Sortino ratio5.39
Upside Potential Ratio11.83
Upside part of mean1.09
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.50
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.42
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)4.37
p(b)0.28
t(a)1.82
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.88
Treynor index (mean / b)1.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.42
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.03
Median1.04
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.34
Mean of quarter 11.01
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.15
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.34
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations359
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low16
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high28
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.45
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.50
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.01
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations43
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-454997856
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)15
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)123.36
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.50
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.97
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs28.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal46.15
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.60
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.69
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)7.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs14.78
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal34.44

Trading record

Placed 139 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
M2K U6short1Aug 13, 2026Aug 20, 2026$299
MYM U6short2Aug 3, 2026Aug 20, 2026$459
M2K U6long1Jul 28, 2026Aug 3, 2026$131
MES U6long1Jul 27, 2026Jul 31, 2026$310
MNQ U6long1Jul 29, 2026Jul 30, 2026$770
MT Q6long1Jul 23, 2026Jul 24, 2026$846
M2K U6short5Jun 19, 2026Jul 24, 2026$1,298
MNQ U6long1Jul 17, 2026Jul 21, 2026$1,070
LF U6long1Jul 9, 2026Jul 10, 2026$1,053
LF U6long1Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026$2,302
DXM U6long1Jun 26, 2026Jun 30, 2026$1,981
M2K M6short3Apr 8, 2026Jun 21, 2026($1,682)
DXS M6long2Jun 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026$393
LF M6long1Jun 4, 2026Jun 5, 2026$1,565
MNQ M6long1May 19, 2026May 20, 2026$465
LF M6long1May 15, 2026May 18, 2026$1,826
LF M6long1May 8, 2026May 14, 2026$1,745
EX M6long3Apr 24, 2026May 6, 2026$4,042
XXP M6short1Apr 1, 2026Apr 8, 2026($1,317)
MT J6long1Mar 10, 2026Apr 8, 2026$1,946
DXS M6long1Mar 20, 2026Apr 8, 2026$1,213
MYM M6long1Mar 20, 2026Apr 7, 2026$689
MES M6long1Mar 27, 2026Apr 1, 2026$512
M2K M6long2Mar 19, 2026Mar 23, 2026$273
M2K H6long1Mar 18, 2026Mar 20, 2026($20)
MYM H6long1Mar 15, 2026Mar 20, 2026($260)
DXS H6long1Mar 11, 2026Mar 20, 2026($761)
M2K H6short1Mar 2, 2026Mar 12, 2026$413
MNQ H6long1Feb 27, 2026Mar 1, 2026($376)
MNQ H6long1Feb 17, 2026Feb 26, 2026$1,464

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.